Maritimo crestMaritimovsDesportivo de Tondela crestDesportivo de Tondela

Maritimo 1-3 Desportivo de Tondela — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira Liga 2021-2022Sun, 03 Apr 2022 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Maritimo47%

  • Maritimo 47%
  • Draw 25%
  • Desportivo de Tondela 28%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Maritimo, rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Maritimo won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Maritimo: LDWWW

Desportivo de Tondela: LLLWL

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-04-03Maritimo vs Desportivo de Tondela1–3
2021-11-07Desportivo de Tondela vs Maritimo4–2
2021-02-16Desportivo de Tondela vs Maritimo2–1
2020-09-26Maritimo vs Desportivo de Tondela2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Maritimo vs Desportivo de Tondela?
Tofiko's model favours Maritimo (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Maritimo vs Desportivo de Tondela kick off?
Sun, 03 Apr 2022 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga 2021-2022.
What is the Maritimo vs Desportivo de Tondela head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.