Vitoria Guimaraes crestVitoria GuimaraesvsMoreirense crestMoreirense

Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 Moreirense — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSun, 20 Sep 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vitoria Guimaraes48%

Tofiko48% / 25% / 27%
Market67% / 20% / 12%
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Draw
  • Moreirense

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vitoria Guimaraes, rating it at 48.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Vitoria Guimaraes won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Vitoria Guimaraes: DLDLW

Moreirense: DWLLW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 1.80Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense1–1
2026-01-30Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense1–0
2025-08-23Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–0
2025-03-30Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes2–2
2024-11-03Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense1–0
2024-03-30Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense1–0
2023-11-05Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes1–0
2022-04-03Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimaraes0–1
2021-11-06Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense2–1
2021-04-30Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense?
Tofiko's model favours Vitoria Guimaraes (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense kick off?
Sun, 20 Sep 2026 14:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Vitoria Guimaraes vs Moreirense head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureMoreirense vs Vitória SC28 Feb 2027 →