Sporting CP crestSporting CPvsFC Arouca crestFC Arouca

Sporting CP 2-2 FC Arouca — Result, H2H & Form

Primeira LigaSat, 19 Sep 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sporting CP79%

Tofiko79% / 15% / 6%
Market85% / 10% / 5%
  • Sporting CP
  • Draw
  • FC Arouca

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sporting CP, rating it at 78.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sporting CP won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026.

Sporting CP: DDWWW

FC Arouca: DLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19Sporting CP vs FC Arouca2–2
2026-01-24FC Arouca vs Sporting CP1–2
2025-08-17Sporting CP vs FC Arouca6–0
2025-02-15Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca2–2
2024-09-13FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3
2024-03-10FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–3
2023-10-08Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca2–1
2023-04-16Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca1–1
2022-10-29FC Arouca vs Sporting Clube de Portugal1–0
2022-03-05Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs FC Arouca?
Tofiko's model favours Sporting CP (79% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting CP vs FC Arouca kick off?
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 19:30 GMT — Primeira Liga.
What is the Sporting CP vs FC Arouca head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureArouca vs Sporting CP28 Feb 2027 →