FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionThu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Chelyabinsk54%
- FC Chelyabinsk 54%
- Draw 24%
- FC Ufa 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Chelyabinsk, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Chelyabinsk won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Chelyabinsk: LDLLW
FC Ufa: WWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Ufa vs FC Chelyabinsk | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Chelyabinsk (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa kick off?
- Thu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.