FC Chelyabinsk crestFC ChelyabinskvsFC Ufa crestFC Ufa

FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa Prediction, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionThu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Chelyabinsk54%

  • FC Chelyabinsk 54%
  • Draw 24%
  • FC Ufa 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Chelyabinsk, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and FC Chelyabinsk won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Chelyabinsk: LDLLW

FC Ufa: WWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-11-10FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa2–1
2025-09-28FC Ufa vs FC Chelyabinsk0–0

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FAQ

Who will win FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa?
Tofiko's model favours FC Chelyabinsk (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa kick off?
Thu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ufa head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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