FC Chelyabinskvs
Spartak KostromaFC Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 05 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Chelyabinsk46%
- FC Chelyabinsk 46%
- Draw 24%
- Spartak Kostroma 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Chelyabinsk, rating it at 46.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Chelyabinsk won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
FC Chelyabinsk: LDLLW
Spartak Kostroma: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | FC Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Spartak Kostroma vs FC Chelyabinsk | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Chelyabinsk (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the FC Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.