FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Chelyabinsk38%
- FC Chelyabinsk 38%
- Draw 25%
- FC Ural Yekaterinburg 37%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Chelyabinsk, rating it at 38.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and FC Chelyabinsk won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Chelyabinsk: LDLLW
FC Ural Yekaterinburg: DWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs FC Chelyabinsk | 1–1 |
| 2026-06-20 | FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs FC Chelyabinsk | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-05 | FC Ural Yekaterinburg vs FC Chelyabinsk | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Chelyabinsk (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the FC Chelyabinsk vs FC Ural Yekaterinburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.