PFC Sochivs
FC Pari Nizhny NovgorodPFC Sochi vs FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs PFC Sochi50%
- PFC Sochi 50%
- Draw 22%
- FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick PFC Sochi, rating it at 50.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and PFC Sochi won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. PFC Sochi's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
PFC Sochi: WWWWW
FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod: DWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs PFC Sochi | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | PFC Sochi vs FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win PFC Sochi vs FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod?
- Tofiko's model favours PFC Sochi (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does PFC Sochi vs FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the PFC Sochi vs FC Pari Nizhny Novgorod head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.