FC Ufa crestFC UfavsVeles Moscow crestVeles Moscow

FC Ufa 1-1 Veles Moscow — Result, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Veles Moscow38%

  • FC Ufa 36%
  • Draw 26%
  • Veles Moscow 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Veles Moscow, rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and FC Ufa did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

FC Ufa: DWWDL

Veles Moscow: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05FC Ufa vs Veles Moscow1–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Ufa vs Veles Moscow?
Tofiko's model favours Veles Moscow (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does FC Ufa vs Veles Moscow kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the FC Ufa vs Veles Moscow head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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Reverse fixtureVeles vs FC UFA28 Nov 2026 →