Volga Ulyanovsk crestVolga UlyanovskvsArsenal Tula crestArsenal Tula

Volga Ulyanovsk 3-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, H2H & Form

Russia First DivisionSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Volga Ulyanovsk38%

  • Volga Ulyanovsk 38%
  • Draw 27%
  • Arsenal Tula 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Volga Ulyanovsk, rating it at 37.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Volga Ulyanovsk won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 37.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

Volga Ulyanovsk: DDWDL

Arsenal Tula: DLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula3–0
2026-06-17Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk1–2
2026-03-09Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk0–1
2025-08-30Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula?
Tofiko's model favours Volga Ulyanovsk (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
What is the Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureArsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk1 May 2027 →