Volga Ulyanovskvs
Spartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction, H2H & Form
Russia First DivisionThu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Volga Ulyanovsk38%
- Volga Ulyanovsk 38%
- Draw 25%
- Spartak Kostroma 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Volga Ulyanovsk, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Volga Ulyanovsk: DLLWL
Spartak Kostroma: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 16 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Spartak Kostroma vs Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Spartak Kostroma vs Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
- Tofiko's model favours Volga Ulyanovsk (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma kick off?
- Thu, 17 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Russia First Division.
- What is the Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.