Aberdeen F.C.vs
Kilmarnock FCAberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Scottish PremiershipSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aberdeen F.C.47%
- Aberdeen F.C. 47%
- Draw 24%
- Kilmarnock FC 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aberdeen F.C., rating it at 47.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aberdeen F.C. won 5 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Kilmarnock FC's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Aberdeen F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Kilmarnock FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Aberdeen F.C.: LWLWW
Kilmarnock FC: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 10%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-26 | Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2024-08-25 | Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC | 2–0 |
| 2024-02-24 | Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-06 | Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Aberdeen F.C. (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — Scottish Premiership.
- What is the Aberdeen F.C. vs Kilmarnock FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.