AD Ceutavs
UD AlmeriaAD Ceuta vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 23 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria43%
- AD Ceuta 33%
- Draw 24%
- UD Almeria 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks UD Almeria, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AD Ceuta won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
UD Almeria: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | UD Almeria vs AD Ceuta | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-26 | AD Ceuta vs UD Almeria | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AD Ceuta vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AD Ceuta vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Mon, 23 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the AD Ceuta vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.