UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
UD Almeria to win70%
1X2: model backs UD Almeria at 70%.
- UD Almeria
- Draw
- Real Valladolid
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- UD Almeria or draw90%
- Draw or Real Valladolid30%
- UD Almeria or Real Valladolid80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- UD Almeria, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Real Valladolid, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (468 games)55%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 69.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
UD Almeria: WWWWW
Real Valladolid: WDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Real Valladolid vs UD Almeria | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Almeria vs Valladolid | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-05 | Valladolid vs Almeria | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.