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Granada CF crestGranada CFvsAD Ceuta crestAD Ceuta

Granada CF vs AD Ceuta Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 30 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Granada CF48%

Granada CF 48%
Draw 26%
AD Ceuta 27%
  • Granada CF 48%
  • Draw 26%
  • AD Ceuta 27%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Granada CF, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Granada CF won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Granada CF: LWWWD

AD Ceuta: WWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-20AD Ceuta vs Granada CF2–1
2025-12-07Granada CF vs AD Ceuta1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Granada CF vs AD Ceuta?
Tofiko's model favours Granada CF (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Granada CF vs AD Ceuta kick off?
Mon, 30 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Granada CF vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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