UD Las Palmasvs
CD CastellonUD Las Palmas vs CD Castellon Prediction, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 17 Oct 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
UD Las Palmas or draw65%
1X2: model backs UD Las Palmas at 39% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- UD Las Palmas
- Draw
- CD Castellon
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- UD Las Palmas or draw65%
- Draw or CD Castellon61%
- UD Las Palmas or CD Castellon75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.545%
- Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
- UD Las Palmas, last 10 home games6 of 10
- CD Castellon, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (468 games)55%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Las Palmas, rating it at 39.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Las Palmas won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
UD Las Palmas: LDLLW
CD Castellon: LDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | UD Las Palmas vs CD Castellon | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | CD Castellon vs UD Las Palmas | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs CD Castellon kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs CD Castellon head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.