Real Sociedad B vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 17 Oct 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
UD Almeria or draw71%
1X2: model backs UD Almeria at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Real Sociedad B
- Draw
- UD Almeria
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Real Sociedad B or draw52%
- Draw or UD Almeria71%
- Real Sociedad B or UD Almeria78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.562%
- Under 2.538%
Both teams to score
- Real Sociedad B, last 10 home games4 of 10
- UD Almeria, last 10 away games0 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (468 games)55%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 48.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Sociedad B won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Real Sociedad B's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. UD Almeria's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
Real Sociedad B: LLWLL
UD Almeria: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | UD Almeria vs Real Sociedad B | 5–1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Real Sociedad B vs UD Almeria | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad B vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad B vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 12:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Real Sociedad B vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.