AC Milan crestAC MilanvsGenoa CFC crestGenoa CFC

AC Milan vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 21 Feb 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AC Milan to win65%

1X2: model backs AC Milan at 65%.

Tofiko65% / 23% / 11%
  • AC Milan
  • Draw
  • Genoa CFC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Milan or draw89%
  • Draw or Genoa CFC35%
  • AC Milan or Genoa CFC77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.550%
  • Under 2.550%

Both teams to score

  • AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Genoa CFC, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 65.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 6 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Milan: DWLDD

Genoa CFC: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 132 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Genoa CFC vs AC Milan1–2
2026-01-08AC Milan vs Genoa CFC1–1
2025-05-05Genoa CFC vs AC Milan1–2
2024-12-15AC Milan vs Genoa CFC0–0
2024-05-05AC Milan vs Genoa3–3
2023-10-07Genoa vs AC Milan0–1
2022-04-15AC Milan vs Genoa2–0
2021-12-01Genoa vs AC Milan0–3
2021-04-18AC Milan vs Genoa2–1
2020-12-16Genoa vs AC Milan2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs Genoa CFC?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs Genoa CFC kick off?
Sun, 21 Feb 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureGenoa vs AC Milan8 Nov 2026 →