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AC Milan crestAC MilanvsParma Calcio 1913 crestParma Calcio 1913

AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Milan70%

AC Milan 70%
Draw 19%
Parma Calcio 1913 10%
  • AC Milan 70%
  • Draw 19%
  • Parma Calcio 1913 10%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 70.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and AC Milan won 2 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AC Milan: DLWLL

Parma Calcio 1913: DWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 83%Both scored
  • 83%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 19130–1
2025-11-08Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Milan2–2
2025-01-26AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 19133–2
2024-08-24Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Milan2–1
2021-04-10Parma Calcio 1913 vs AC Milan1–3
2020-12-13AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 19132–2

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FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 kick off?
Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs Parma Calcio 1913 head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

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