AS Romavs
AC MonzaAS Roma vs AC Monza Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma68%
- AS Roma 68%
- Draw 23%
- AC Monza 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 67.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AS Roma won 4 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
AC Monza: LWWLW
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.83Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | AS Roma vs AC Monza | 4–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | AC Monza vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | AC Monza vs AS Roma | 1–4 |
| 2023-10-22 | AS Roma vs AC Monza | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-03 | A.C. Monza vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-30 | AS Roma vs A.C. Monza | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs AC Monza?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs AC Monza kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs AC Monza head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.