AS Romavs
US Sassuolo CalcioAS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma65%
- AS Roma 65%
- Draw 23%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 64.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 5 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. AS Roma's 5 produced 20, at 4.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-26 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-12-03 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AS Roma | 1–2 |
| 2023-03-12 | AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 3–4 |
| 2022-11-09 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-13 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2021-09-12 | AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2021-04-03 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2020-12-06 | AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.