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Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsGenoa CFC crestGenoa CFC

Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC66%

Atalanta BC 66%
Draw 22%
Genoa CFC 11%
  • Atalanta BC 66%
  • Draw 22%
  • Genoa CFC 11%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 66.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Atalanta BC: WDLWD

Genoa CFC: WDWLL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-02Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC0–0
2025-12-21Genoa CFC vs Atalanta BC0–1
2025-05-17Genoa CFC vs Atalanta BC2–3
2024-10-05Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC5–1
2024-02-11Genoa vs Atalanta1–4
2023-10-22Atalanta vs Genoa2–0
2022-03-13Atalanta vs Genoa0–0
2021-12-21Genoa vs Atalanta0–0
2021-05-15Genoa vs Atalanta3–4
2021-01-17Atalanta vs Genoa0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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