AC Monza vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC62%
- AC Monza 14%
- Draw 24%
- Atalanta BC 62%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 62.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and AC Monza won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AC Monza: WLLWD
Atalanta BC: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | AC Monza vs Atalanta BC | 0–4 |
| 2024-10-30 | Atalanta BC vs AC Monza | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | AC Monza vs Atalanta | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Atalanta vs AC Monza | 3–0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Atalanta vs A.C. Monza | 5–2 |
| 2022-09-05 | A.C. Monza vs Atalanta | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Monza vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.