Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsSSC Napoli crestSSC Napoli

Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC36%

Tofiko36% / 30% / 34%
  • Atalanta BC
  • Draw
  • SSC Napoli

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atalanta BC or draw66%
  • Draw or SSC Napoli64%
  • Atalanta BC or SSC Napoli70%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • SSC Napoli, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atalanta BC, rating it at 36.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

SSC Napoli: WDWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli2–1
2025-11-22SSC Napoli vs Atalanta BC3–1
2025-01-18Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli2–3
2024-11-03SSC Napoli vs Atalanta BC0–3
2024-03-30Napoli vs Atalanta0–3
2023-11-25Atalanta vs Napoli1–2
2023-03-11Napoli vs Atalanta2–0
2022-11-05Atalanta vs Napoli1–2
2022-04-03Atalanta vs Napoli1–3
2021-12-04Napoli vs Atalanta2–3

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli kick off?
Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs SSC Napoli head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 7 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNapoli vs Atalanta30 May 2027 →