Cagliari Calciovs
AC MilanCagliari Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan56%
- Cagliari Calcio 20%
- Draw 25%
- AC Milan 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 55.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Cagliari Calcio won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AC Milan's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cagliari Calcio: WDWWL
AC Milan: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2025-01-11 | AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan | 3–3 |
| 2024-05-11 | AC Milan vs Cagliari | 5–1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Cagliari vs AC Milan | 1–3 |
| 2022-03-19 | Cagliari vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-29 | AC Milan vs Cagliari | 4–1 |
| 2021-05-16 | AC Milan vs Cagliari | 0–0 |
| 2021-01-18 | Cagliari vs AC Milan | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.