Cagliarivs
FC Bari 1908Cagliari 0-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sat, 17 Sep 2022 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cagliari56%
- Cagliari 56%
- Draw 24%
- FC Bari 1908 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cagliari, rating it at 55.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cagliari won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Cagliari: LLWWD
FC Bari 1908: WDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-18 | FC Bari 1908 vs Cagliari | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Cagliari vs FC Bari 1908 | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cagliari vs FC Bari 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours Cagliari (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cagliari vs FC Bari 1908 kick off?
- Sat, 17 Sep 2022 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Cagliari vs FC Bari 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.