SSC Napolivs
Cagliari CalcioSSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AWed, 06 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli72%
- SSC Napoli 72%
- Draw 19%
- Cagliari Calcio 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 72.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SSC Napoli won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. SSC Napoli's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 127 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SSC Napoli: LWWDW
Cagliari Calcio: LWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 127 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Cagliari Calcio vs SSC Napoli | 0–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-23 | SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio | 2–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Cagliari Calcio vs SSC Napoli | 0–4 |
| 2024-02-25 | Cagliari vs Napoli | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-16 | Napoli vs Cagliari | 2–1 |
| 2022-02-21 | Cagliari vs Napoli | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-26 | Napoli vs Cagliari | 2–0 |
| 2021-05-02 | Napoli vs Cagliari | 1–1 |
| 2021-01-03 | Cagliari vs Napoli | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SSC Napoli vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.