ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

ACF Fiorentina or draw74%

1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko44% / 30% / 26%
  • ACF Fiorentina
  • Draw
  • Bologna FC 1909

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ACF Fiorentina or draw74%
  • Draw or Bologna FC 190956%
  • ACF Fiorentina or Bologna FC 190970%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Bologna FC 1909, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 43.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Bologna FC 1909: WDLDL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 69 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-18Bologna FC 1909 vs ACF Fiorentina1–2
2025-10-26ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 19092–2
2025-05-18ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 19093–2
2024-12-15Bologna FC 1909 vs ACF Fiorentina1–0
2024-02-14Bologna vs Fiorentina2–0
2023-11-12Fiorentina vs Bologna2–1
2023-02-05Fiorentina vs Bologna1–2
2022-09-11Bologna vs Fiorentina2–1
2022-03-13Fiorentina vs Bologna1–0
2021-12-05Bologna vs Fiorentina2–3

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FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBologna vs Fiorentina2 May 2027 →