ACF Fiorentina crestACF FiorentinavsCagliari Calcio crestCagliari Calcio

ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 07 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

ACF Fiorentina to win59%

1X2: model backs ACF Fiorentina at 59%.

Tofiko59% / 26% / 15%
  • ACF Fiorentina
  • Draw
  • Cagliari Calcio

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ACF Fiorentina or draw85%
  • Draw or Cagliari Calcio41%
  • ACF Fiorentina or Cagliari Calcio74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Cagliari Calcio, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 59.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Cagliari Calcio: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 56 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio1–2
2025-08-24Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina1–1
2025-04-23Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina1–2
2024-12-08ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio1–0
2024-05-23Cagliari vs Fiorentina2–3
2023-10-02Fiorentina vs Cagliari3–0
2022-01-23Cagliari vs Fiorentina1–1
2021-10-24Fiorentina vs Cagliari3–0
2021-05-12Cagliari vs Fiorentina0–0
2021-01-10Fiorentina vs Cagliari1–0

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FAQ

Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
Mon, 07 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureCagliari vs Fiorentina14 Mar 2027 →