ACF Fiorentinavs
Cagliari CalcioACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs ACF Fiorentina59%
- ACF Fiorentina 59%
- Draw 26%
- Cagliari Calcio 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 59.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. ACF Fiorentina's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Cagliari Calcio: WDWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Cagliari Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina | 1–2 |
| 2024-12-08 | ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2024-05-23 | Cagliari vs Fiorentina | 2–3 |
| 2023-10-02 | Fiorentina vs Cagliari | 3–0 |
| 2022-01-23 | Cagliari vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2021-10-24 | Fiorentina vs Cagliari | 3–0 |
| 2021-05-12 | Cagliari vs Fiorentina | 0–0 |
| 2021-01-10 | Fiorentina vs Cagliari | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 06 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.