Inter Milan crestInter MilanvsAS Roma crestAS Roma

Inter Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Inter Milan to win62%

1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 62%.

Tofiko62% / 24% / 14%
  • Inter Milan
  • Draw
  • AS Roma

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Inter Milan or draw86%
  • Draw or AS Roma38%
  • Inter Milan or AS Roma76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Inter Milan, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • AS Roma, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 61.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Inter Milan won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Inter Milan's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. AS Roma's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 182 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Inter Milan: WWDWL

AS Roma: DDWDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 182 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19AS Roma vs Inter Milan2–2
2026-04-05Inter Milan vs AS Roma5–2
2025-10-18AS Roma vs Inter Milan0–1
2025-04-27Inter Milan vs AS Roma0–1
2024-10-20AS Roma vs Inter Milan0–1
2024-02-10AS Roma vs Inter Milan2–4
2023-10-29Inter Milan vs AS Roma1–0
2023-05-06AS Roma vs Inter Milan0–2
2022-10-01Inter Milan vs AS Roma1–2
2022-04-23Inter Milan vs AS Roma3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Inter Milan vs AS Roma?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Milan vs AS Roma kick off?
Sun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Inter Milan vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAS Roma 2-2 Inter19 Sept 2026 →