Inter Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Inter Milan to win62%
1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 62%.
- Inter Milan
- Draw
- AS Roma
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Inter Milan or draw86%
- Draw or AS Roma38%
- Inter Milan or AS Roma76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Inter Milan, last 10 home games5 of 10
- AS Roma, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 61.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Inter Milan won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Milan's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. AS Roma's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 182 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Inter Milan: WWDWL
AS Roma: DDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 182 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | AS Roma vs Inter Milan | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Inter Milan vs AS Roma | 5–2 |
| 2025-10-18 | AS Roma vs Inter Milan | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Inter Milan vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2024-10-20 | AS Roma vs Inter Milan | 0–1 |
| 2024-02-10 | AS Roma vs Inter Milan | 2–4 |
| 2023-10-29 | Inter Milan vs AS Roma | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | AS Roma vs Inter Milan | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Inter Milan vs AS Roma | 1–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Inter Milan vs AS Roma | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs AS Roma?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Inter Milan vs AS Roma kick off?
- Sun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Inter Milan vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.