Inter Milanvs
ACF FiorentinaInter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 25 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Milan70%
- Inter Milan 70%
- Draw 20%
- ACF Fiorentina 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 70.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Inter Milan won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Inter Milan: DWDDW
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | ACF Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 3–0 |
| 2025-02-10 | Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-06 | ACF Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-28 | Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina | 4–0 |
| 2023-04-01 | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina | 0–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | 3–4 |
| 2022-03-19 | Inter Milan vs Fiorentina | 1–1 |
| 2021-09-21 | Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Inter Milan vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.