Inter Milanvs
US Sassuolo CalcioInter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Milan76%
- Inter Milan 76%
- Draw 16%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 76.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Inter Milan won 7 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. Inter Milan's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 15.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Inter Milan: DWDDW
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Inter Milan | 0–5 |
| 2025-09-21 | Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2024-05-04 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Inter Milan | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-27 | Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-13 | Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 4–2 |
| 2022-10-08 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Inter Milan | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-02 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Inter Milan | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-07 | Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2020-11-28 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Inter Milan | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Inter Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 0 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.