US Lecce crestUS LeccevsSS Lazio crestSS Lazio

US Lecce vs SS Lazio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SS Lazio or draw79%

1X2: model backs SS Lazio at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko21% / 31% / 48%
  • US Lecce
  • Draw
  • SS Lazio

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • US Lecce or draw52%
  • Draw or SS Lazio79%
  • US Lecce or SS Lazio69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.537%
  • Under 2.563%

Both teams to score

  • US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • SS Lazio, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 48.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

US Lecce: LLWLL

SS Lazio: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 174 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 2.13Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-24US Lecce vs SS Lazio0–0
2025-11-23SS Lazio vs US Lecce2–0
2025-05-25SS Lazio vs US Lecce0–1
2024-12-21US Lecce vs SS Lazio1–2
2024-01-14Lazio vs Lecce1–0
2023-08-20Lecce vs Lazio2–1
2023-05-12Lazio vs Lecce2–2
2023-01-04Lecce vs Lazio2–1

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FAQ

Who will win US Lecce vs SS Lazio?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Lecce vs SS Lazio kick off?
Sun, 04 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Lecce vs SS Lazio head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureLazio vs Lecce21 Nov 2026 →