US Leccevs
US Sassuolo CalcioUS Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Sassuolo Calcio35%
- US Lecce 33%
- Draw 33%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 35%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks US Sassuolo Calcio, rating it at 34.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and US Lecce won 1 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. US Lecce's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Lecce: WDLWW
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
Head-to-head
- 6Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs US Lecce | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-18 | US Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–0 |
| 2024-04-21 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Lecce | 0–3 |
| 2023-10-06 | Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–1 |
| 2022-08-20 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Lecce | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours US Sassuolo Calcio (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.