AC Monzavs
ModenaAC Monza 1-0 Modena — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 24 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Monza59%
- AC Monza 59%
- Draw 24%
- Modena 17%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Monza, rating it at 59.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AC Monza won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Modena's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
AC Monza: WLLWD
Modena: WWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | AC Monza vs Modena | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Modena vs AC Monza | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Modena?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Monza (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Monza vs Modena kick off?
- Fri, 24 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the AC Monza vs Modena head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.