Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Wed, 27 Sep 2023 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Parma Calcio 191356%
- Parma Calcio 1913 56%
- Draw 24%
- SSC Bari 19%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Parma Calcio 1913, rating it at 56.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Parma Calcio 1913 won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Parma Calcio 1913: LLLWL
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-01 | SSC Bari vs Parma Calcio 1913 | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs SSC Bari | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-14 | FC Bari 1908 vs Parma Calcio 1913 | 4–0 |
| 2022-08-12 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs FC Bari 1908 | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Parma Calcio 1913 vs SSC Bari?
- Tofiko's model favours Parma Calcio 1913 (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Parma Calcio 1913 vs SSC Bari kick off?
- Wed, 27 Sep 2023 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Parma Calcio 1913 vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.