US Sassuolo Calciovs
SSC NapoliUS Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SSC Napoli58%
- US Sassuolo Calcio 18%
- Draw 24%
- SSC Napoli 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 58.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Sassuolo Calcio's last 5 produced 31 goals — 6.2 per game; they scored in 2 of them and conceded in 4. SSC Napoli's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Sassuolo Calcio's games are very high-scoring at 6.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWWL
SSC Napoli: WLWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | SSC Napoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-23 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-28 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Napoli | 1–6 |
| 2023-08-27 | Napoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-17 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Napoli | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Napoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 4–0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Napoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 6–1 |
| 2021-12-01 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Napoli | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-03 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs Napoli | 3–3 |
| 2020-11-01 | Napoli vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli?
- Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.