Ascoli crestAscolivsBenevento crestBenevento

Ascoli vs Benevento Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSat, 05 Sep 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Ascoli44%

  • Ascoli 44%
  • Draw 26%
  • Benevento 30%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Ascoli, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Ascoli won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Ascoli: DWLWL

Benevento: DLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-02-26Ascoli vs Benevento0–0
2022-10-02Benevento vs Ascoli1–1
2022-02-16Benevento vs Ascoli0–2
2021-09-18Ascoli vs Benevento0–2

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FAQ

Who will win Ascoli vs Benevento?
Tofiko's model favours Ascoli (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ascoli vs Benevento kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 15:15 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Ascoli vs Benevento head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBenevento 1-1 Ascoli2 Oct 2022 →