Beneventovs
AscoliBenevento 1-1 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2022-2023Sun, 02 Oct 2022 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Benevento46%
- Benevento 46%
- Draw 25%
- Ascoli 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Benevento, rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Benevento won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Benevento's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Benevento: DLLWD
Ascoli: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-26 | Ascoli vs Benevento | 0–0 |
| 2022-10-02 | Benevento vs Ascoli | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-16 | Benevento vs Ascoli | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-18 | Ascoli vs Benevento | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Benevento vs Ascoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Benevento (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Benevento vs Ascoli kick off?
- Sun, 02 Oct 2022 14:15 GMT — Italian Serie B 2022-2023.
- What is the Benevento vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.