Ascoli crestAscolivsLecce crestLecce

Ascoli 1-1 Lecce — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2021-2022Sat, 16 Oct 2021 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lecce38%

  • Ascoli 34%
  • Draw 27%
  • Lecce 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Lecce, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Ascoli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 6 Sep 2026.

Ascoli: WDWLW

Lecce: LWLWW

Head-to-head

As of 6 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.75Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2022-03-02Lecce vs Ascoli3–1
2021-10-16Ascoli vs Lecce1–1
2021-02-05Lecce vs Ascoli1–2
2020-10-03Ascoli vs Lecce0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ascoli vs Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours Lecce (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Ascoli vs Lecce kick off?
Sat, 16 Oct 2021 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
What is the Ascoli vs Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legLecce 3-1 Ascoli2 Mar 2022 →