Leccevs
AscoliLecce 3-1 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2021-2022Wed, 02 Mar 2022 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lecce53%
- Lecce 53%
- Draw 26%
- Ascoli 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lecce, rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Lecce won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 6 Sep 2026.
Lecce: LWLWW
Ascoli: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 6 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-02 | Lecce vs Ascoli | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-16 | Ascoli vs Lecce | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-05 | Lecce vs Ascoli | 1–2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Ascoli vs Lecce | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Lecce vs Ascoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Lecce (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Lecce vs Ascoli kick off?
- Wed, 02 Mar 2022 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie B 2021-2022.
- What is the Lecce vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.