Ascoli 0-1 Palermo — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo40%
- Ascoli
- Draw
- Palermo
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 40.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Ascoli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Ascoli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Palermo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 28 Sep 2026.
Ascoli: WLWDW
Palermo: WDWWW
Head-to-head
As of 28 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Palermo vs Ascoli | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-16 | Ascoli vs Palermo | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Ascoli vs Palermo | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Palermo vs Ascoli | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Ascoli vs Palermo kick off?
- Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Ascoli vs Palermo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.