Ascoli crestAscolivsPalermo crestPalermo

Ascoli 0-1 Palermo — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo40%

Tofiko34% / 25% / 40%
Market31% / 29% / 40%
  • Ascoli
  • Draw
  • Palermo

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 40.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Ascoli won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Ascoli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Ascoli: WLWDW

Palermo: WDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-05Palermo vs Ascoli2–2
2023-09-16Ascoli vs Palermo0–1
2023-01-29Ascoli vs Palermo1–2
2022-08-27Palermo vs Ascoli2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Ascoli vs Palermo kick off?
Sat, 16 Sep 2023 12:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Ascoli vs Palermo head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legPalermo 2-2 Ascoli5 May 2024 →