Palermovs
AscoliPalermo 2-2 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sun, 05 May 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Palermo55%
- Palermo 55%
- Draw 24%
- Ascoli 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Palermo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
Palermo: WWWWL
Ascoli: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-05 | Palermo vs Ascoli | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-16 | Ascoli vs Palermo | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-29 | Ascoli vs Palermo | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Palermo vs Ascoli | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Palermo vs Ascoli?
- Tofiko's model favours Palermo (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Palermo vs Ascoli kick off?
- Sun, 05 May 2024 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
- What is the Palermo vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.