Palermo crestPalermovsAscoli crestAscoli

Palermo 2-2 Ascoli — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie B 2023-2024Sun, 05 May 2024 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo55%

Tofiko55% / 24% / 21%
Market44% / 28% / 27%
  • Palermo
  • Draw
  • Ascoli

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo, rating it at 55.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Palermo won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Palermo's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Ascoli's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Palermo's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 28 Sep 2026.

Palermo: WDWWW

Ascoli: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 28 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2024-05-05Palermo vs Ascoli2–2
2023-09-16Ascoli vs Palermo0–1
2023-01-29Ascoli vs Palermo1–2
2022-08-27Palermo vs Ascoli2–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Palermo vs Ascoli?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Palermo vs Ascoli kick off?
Sun, 05 May 2024 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B 2023-2024.
What is the Palermo vs Ascoli head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legAscoli 0-1 Palermo16 Sept 2023 →