US Avellino 1912 1-2 Carrarese Calcio 1908 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 17 Jan 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Avellino 191238%
- US Avellino 1912 38%
- Draw 24%
- Carrarese Calcio 1908 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks US Avellino 1912, rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | US Avellino 1912 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Avellino 1912 | 3–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908?
- Tofiko's model favours US Avellino 1912 (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Avellino 1912 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 kick off?
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Avellino 1912 vs Carrarese Calcio 1908 head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.