Carrarese Calcio 1908 crestCarrarese Calcio 1908vsUS Avellino 1912 crestUS Avellino 1912

Carrarese Calcio 1908 3-4 US Avellino 1912 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BSun, 21 Sep 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Carrarese Calcio 190854%

  • Carrarese Calcio 1908 54%
  • Draw 22%
  • US Avellino 1912 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Carrarese Calcio 1908, rating it at 54.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Carrarese Calcio 1908 won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Carrarese Calcio 1908's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Carrarese Calcio 1908: DLLWL

US Avellino 1912: WLLDL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17US Avellino 1912 vs Carrarese Calcio 19081–2
2025-09-21Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Avellino 19123–4

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FAQ

Who will win Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Avellino 1912?
Tofiko's model favours Carrarese Calcio 1908 (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Avellino 1912 kick off?
Sun, 21 Sep 2025 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Carrarese Calcio 1908 vs US Avellino 1912 head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAvellino 1-2 Carrarese17 Jan 2026 →