US Avellino 1912vs
Calcio PadovaUS Avellino 1912 1-0 Calcio Padova — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 07 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Avellino 191245%
- US Avellino 1912 45%
- Draw 25%
- Calcio Padova 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Avellino 1912, rating it at 45.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and US Avellino 1912 won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Avellino 1912's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Calcio Padova's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- US Avellino 1912's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
US Avellino 1912: WLLDL
Calcio Padova: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | US Avellino 1912 vs Calcio Padova | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Calcio Padova vs US Avellino 1912 | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Avellino 1912 vs Calcio Padova?
- Tofiko's model favours US Avellino 1912 (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Avellino 1912 vs Calcio Padova kick off?
- Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the US Avellino 1912 vs Calcio Padova head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.