SSC Barivs
US Catanzaro 1929SSC Bari 1-2 US Catanzaro 1929 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BFri, 19 Dec 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs US Catanzaro 192941%
- SSC Bari 35%
- Draw 24%
- US Catanzaro 1929 41%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 41.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and SSC Bari won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. US Catanzaro 1929's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. SSC Bari's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
SSC Bari: DLWWW
US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | US Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari | 2–3 |
| 2025-12-19 | SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro 1929 | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-27 | U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari | 2–0 |
| 2023-09-24 | SSC Bari vs U.S. Catanzaro 1929 | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro 1929?
- Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro 1929 kick off?
- Fri, 19 Dec 2025 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro 1929 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.