US Catanzaro 1929 crestUS Catanzaro 1929vsSSC Bari crestSSC Bari

US Catanzaro 1929 2-3 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs US Catanzaro 192962%

  • US Catanzaro 1929 62%
  • Draw 23%
  • SSC Bari 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick US Catanzaro 1929, rating it at 62.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and US Catanzaro 1929 won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. US Catanzaro 1929's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. SSC Bari's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

US Catanzaro 1929: LLDWW

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-08US Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari2–3
2025-12-19SSC Bari vs US Catanzaro 19291–2
2024-02-27U.S. Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari2–0
2023-09-24SSC Bari vs U.S. Catanzaro 19292–2

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FAQ

Who will win US Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari?
Tofiko's model favours US Catanzaro 1929 (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari kick off?
Fri, 08 May 2026 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the US Catanzaro 1929 vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBari 1-2 Catanzaro19 Dec 2025 →