SSC Barivs
Frosinone CalcioSSC Bari 2-3 Frosinone Calcio — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie BSat, 22 Nov 2025 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Frosinone Calcio47%
- SSC Bari 28%
- Draw 25%
- Frosinone Calcio 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and SSC Bari won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 5 Sep 2026.
SSC Bari: DLWWW
Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Frosinone Calcio vs SSC Bari | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio | 2–3 |
| 2023-03-11 | FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone | 0–0 |
| 2022-10-22 | Frosinone vs FC Bari 1908 | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 22 Nov 2025 18:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
- What is the SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.