Frosinone Calcio crestFrosinone CalciovsSSC Bari crestSSC Bari

Frosinone Calcio 2-1 SSC Bari — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BWed, 18 Mar 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Frosinone Calcio60%

  • Frosinone Calcio 60%
  • Draw 23%
  • SSC Bari 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Frosinone Calcio, rating it at 60.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Frosinone Calcio won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

Frosinone Calcio: DWLWL

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-18Frosinone Calcio vs SSC Bari2–1
2025-11-22SSC Bari vs Frosinone Calcio2–3
2023-03-11FC Bari 1908 vs Frosinone0–0
2022-10-22Frosinone vs FC Bari 19081–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Frosinone Calcio vs SSC Bari?
Tofiko's model favours Frosinone Calcio (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Frosinone Calcio vs SSC Bari kick off?
Wed, 18 Mar 2026 18:00 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the Frosinone Calcio vs SSC Bari head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legBari 2-3 Frosinone22 Nov 2025 →