SSC Bari crestSSC BarivsPalermo FC crestPalermo FC

SSC Bari 0-3 Palermo FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie BFri, 30 Jan 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Palermo FC43%

  • SSC Bari 32%
  • Draw 25%
  • Palermo FC 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Palermo FC, rating it at 43.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and SSC Bari won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 5 Sep 2026.

SSC Bari: DLWWW

Palermo FC: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 1.83Avg goals
  • 17%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-30SSC Bari vs Palermo FC0–3
2025-09-19Palermo FC vs SSC Bari2–0
2024-02-02Palermo vs SSC Bari3–0
2023-08-18SSC Bari vs Palermo0–0
2023-01-20Palermo vs FC Bari 19081–0
2022-08-19FC Bari 1908 vs Palermo1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SSC Bari vs Palermo FC?
Tofiko's model favours Palermo FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Bari vs Palermo FC kick off?
Fri, 30 Jan 2026 19:30 GMT — Italian Serie B.
What is the SSC Bari vs Palermo FC head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.83 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legPalermo 2-0 Bari19 Sept 2025 →